League One Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 8.00pm
Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Barnsley
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Lewis Wing

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 3 Exeter
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Reading win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 28.44% and a draw has a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Reading 45.9% (-11.70)
Draw 25.65% (+3.78)
Exeter City 28.44% (+7.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.09% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.12% (-2.08)
Under 1.5 24.88% (+2.08)
Over 2.5 50.4% (-4.82)
Under 2.5 49.6% (+4.82)
Over 3.5 28.41% (-3.69)
Under 3.5 71.59% (+3.69)
Over 4.5 15.66% (-3.72)
Under 4.5 84.34% (+3.72)

First Half Winner

Reading 34.5% (-4.72)
Draw 42.53% (+2.56)
Exeter City 22.97% (+2.16)

Team To Score First

Reading 52.81% (-4.81)
No Goal 6.7% (+1.46)
Exeter City 40.49% (+3.36)

Corners

Over 8 58.09% (+3.21)
Equal 8 12.01% (-0.11)
Under 8 29.9% (-3.10)
Over 9 45.8% (+3.00)
Equal 9 12.3% (+0.22)
Under 9 41.91% (-3.21)
Over 10.5 34.33% (+2.55)
Under 10.5 65.67% (-2.55)

Reading Goals

Over 1.5 44.03% (-9.52)
Under 1.5 55.97% (+9.52)
Over 2.5 19.18% (-8.56)
Under 2.5 80.82% (+8.55)
Over 3.5 6.68% (-4.97)
Under 3.5 93.32% (+4.96)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% (+7.94)
Under 0.5 35.6% (-7.93)
Over 1.5 30.17% (+5.84)
Under 1.5 69.83% (-5.83)
Over 2.5 10.42% (+2.92)
Under 2.5 89.58% (-2.93)
Over 3.5 3.01% (+1.08)
Under 3.5 96.99% (-1.08)

Score analysis

Reading 45.9%
Draw 25.65%
Exeter City 28.45%
Reading
1-0 @ 10.51% (-1.31)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.68)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-1.19)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-1.19)
3-0 @ 4% (-1.97)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.42)
Other @ 6.58% (-4.96)
Total : 45.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (+2.07)
0-0 @ 6.7% (+1.46)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.30)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.65%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 7.67% (+1.91)
1-2 @ 7% (+1.17)
0-2 @ 4.44% (+1.87)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.92)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.60)
0-3 @ 1.51% (+0.36)
Other @ 2.91% (+1.08)
Total : 28.45%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • yellowcard Josh Magennis 41'
  • yellowcard Ben Purrington 52'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Aitchison 57'
  • yellowcard Angus MacDonald 90'+8'
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT St James Park
  • Ryan Woods 55' yellowcard
  • Ilmari Niskanen 58' goal
  • goal Jayden Wareham 1'
  • goal Michael Craig 36'
  • yellowcard Amadou Mbengue 77'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 9' goal
  • Michael Craig 42' yellowcard
  • Alex Hartridge 45'+2' goal
  • Femi Azeez 77' goal
  • Jeriel Dorsett 81' yellowcard
  • goal Zak Jules 18'
  • goal Dion Rankine 68'
EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
9
HT : 0 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Aamir Stanford Neubronner Daniels 49' yellowcard
  • goal Tom McIntyre 3'
  • goal Zak Jules 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tom McIntyre 47'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 56'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 60'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 67'
  • goal Ben Elliott 79'
  • goal Taylan Harris 85'
  • goal Caylan Vickers 90'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St James Park
  • Pierce Sweeney 17' yellowcard
  • Will Aimson 34' goal
  • Zak Jules 44' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 90'+3' goal
  • Reece Cole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Femi Azeez 24'
  • yellowcard Amadou Mbengue 36'
  • goal Harvey Knibbs 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matty Carson 56'
  • yellowcard Nelson Abby 89'