Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.