League One Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park

Exeter City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Mansfield 0 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Northampton 3 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw has a probability of 25.97% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (8.08%).

Result

Exeter City 48.08% (+0.08)
Draw 25.97% (+0.01)
Northampton Town 25.95% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.66% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.29% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.71% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.47% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.41% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.59% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 29.18% (-0.02)
Draw 48.85% (+0.03)
Northampton Town 21.97%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 51.67%
No Goal 7.75% (+0.02)
Northampton Town 40.58% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.81%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 28.66% (+0.02)
Over 9 47.84% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 40.19%
Over 10.5 36.51%
Under 10.5 63.49%

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 42.94% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.06% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 18.62% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 81.38% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.54% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.46% (-0.03)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.2% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.8% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 25.84% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 74.16% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 8.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.96% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.09%
Under 3.5 97.91%

Score analysis

Exeter City 48.08%
Draw 25.97%
Northampton Town 25.95%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.51% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 6.42% (+0.01)
Total : 48.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.75% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 25.97%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.97% (-0.02)
Total : 25.95%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Ilmari Niskanen 69' yellowcard
  • Sonny Cox 87' goal
  • Caleb Watts 89' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dara Costelloe 42'
  • yellowcard Terry Taylor 51'
  • yellowcard Dara Costelloe 90'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Aaron McGowan 55' yellowcard
  • Callum Morton 65' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 78' goal
  • Luke Mbete 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tristan Crama 8'
  • yellowcard Edward Francis 35'
  • yellowcard Reece Cole 43'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Jon Guthrie 45' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 73' goal
  • goal Luke Harris 20'
  • redcard Ryan Woods 44'
  • goal Will Aimson 83'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Zak Jules 8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 9'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 20'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 34'
  • yellowcard Patrick Brough 41'
  • yellowcard Sam Sherring 44'
  • yellowcard Akin Odimayo 62'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Monthe 84'
  • goal Patrick Brough 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mitchell Pinnock 29' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timothee Dieng 20'
  • yellowcard Jack Sparkes 54'
  • yellowcard Jevani Brown 68'
  • goal Sam Nombe 71'
  • yellowcard Archie Collins 88'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 90'+4'