Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.