League One Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Rotherham 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Lewis Wing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Reading has a probability of 35.72% and a draw has a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (10.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.66%).

Result

Northampton Town 36.94%
Draw 27.33%
Reading 35.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.27%
Under 1.5 31.73%
Over 2.5 42.72%
Under 2.5 57.28%
Over 3.5 23.18%
Under 3.5 76.82%
Over 4.5 11.81%
Under 4.5 88.19%

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 27.33%
Draw 44.69%
Reading 27.98%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 42.18%
No Goal 9.34%
Reading 48.48%

Corners

Over 8 58.08%
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 30.5%
Over 9 46.42%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 41.92%
Over 10.5 35.49%
Under 10.5 64.51%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 32.85%
Under 1.5 67.15%
Over 2.5 11.85%
Under 2.5 88.15%
Over 3.5 3.62%
Under 3.5 96.38%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 66.54%
Under 0.5 33.46%
Over 1.5 32.23%
Under 1.5 67.77%
Over 2.5 11.73%
Under 2.5 88.27%
Over 3.5 3.36%
Under 3.5 96.64%

Score analysis

Northampton Town 36.95%
Draw 27.34%
Reading 35.72%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.56% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 36.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.34%
Reading
0-1 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 35.72%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 20' yellowcard
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 77' redcard
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 5' goal
  • Sam Smith 28' goal
  • Charlie Savage 75' goal
  • Manadi Camara 87' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Eaves 45'
  • goal Tom Eaves 81'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Ben Elliott 22' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 65' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Monthe 4'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Sam Hoskins 10' goal
  • Louis Appere 37' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 80' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Savage 11'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhaimha 15'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 66'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mola 78'
  • redcard Andy Yiadom 90'+1'
  • redcard Clinton Mola 90'+8'