Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.