League One
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Elliott Moore 37' yellowcard
  • Max Dyche 63' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Vale 78' yellowcard
  • Jake Evans 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Marriott 55'
  • goal Will Keane 58'
  • yellowcard Liam Fraser 62'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 75'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 75'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 89'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 89'

Northampton Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Rotherham 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 37.37% (+0.35)
Draw 26.99% (-0.27)
Reading 35.68% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1% (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.14% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 30.86% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 43.6% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 56.4% (-0.81)
Over 3.5 23.84% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 76.16% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 12.23% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 87.77% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 27.44% (+0.02)
Draw 44.74% (+0.08)
Reading 27.82% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 42.34% (+0.19)
No Goal 8.94% (-0.37)
Reading 48.72% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 57.61% (-0.42)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 30.98% (+0.42)
Over 9 46% (-0.39)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.04)
Under 9 42.39% (+0.42)
Over 10.5 35.15% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 64.86% (+0.33)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.64% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 66.36% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 12.33% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 87.67% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 3.82% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.18% (-0.17)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 33.12% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 32.59% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 67.41% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 11.91% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 88.09% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.43% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.57% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 37.37%
Draw 27%
Reading 35.68%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.65% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.39% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.3% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.81% (+0.17)
Total : 37.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27%
Reading
0-1 @ 10.63% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.42% (+0.05)
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 20' yellowcard
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 77' redcard
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 5' goal
  • Sam Smith 28' goal
  • Charlie Savage 75' goal
  • Manadi Camara 87' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Eaves 45'
  • goal Tom Eaves 81'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Ben Elliott 22' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 65' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Monthe 4'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Sam Hoskins 10' goal
  • Louis Appere 37' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 80' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Savage 11'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhaimha 15'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 66'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mola 78'
  • redcard Andy Yiadom 90'+1'
  • redcard Clinton Mola 90'+8'