Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.