Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.