League One Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Reading 1 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Lewis Wing

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Reading has a probability of 31.53% and a draw has a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Reading win is 1-0 (10.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).

Result

Reading 31.53% (-0.50)
Draw 27.67% (+0.55)
Bolton Wanderers 40.83% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.74% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.48% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 30.52% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 43.9% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 56.1% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 23.3% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 76.7% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 12.21% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.79% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Reading 22.59% (+0.92)
Draw 42.82% (-0.73)
Bolton Wanderers 34.58% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Reading 36.69% (+1.79)
No Goal 9.36% (+0.35)
Bolton Wanderers 53.95% (-2.13)

Corners

Over 8 49.82% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.41% (+0.07)
Under 8 37.78% (+0.08)
Over 9 37.94% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.88% (+0.05)
Under 9 50.18% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 27.52% (-0.20)
Under 10.5 72.48% (+0.19)

Reading Goals

Over 1.5 29.24% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 70.76% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 9.45% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 90.55% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 2.43% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 97.57% (+0.23)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 70.27% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.73% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.19% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 62.81% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 15.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 84.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.15% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.85% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Reading 31.53%
Draw 27.67%
Bolton Wanderers 40.83%
Reading
1-0 @ 10.23% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 7.04% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.7% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.39% (-0.26)
Total : 31.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.36% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 27.67%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 10.96% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.15% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.11% (+0.13)
Total : 40.83%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 20, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Michael Craig 82' yellowcard
  • Harvey Knibbs 89' goal
  • yellowcard George Thomason 74'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 89'
  • yellowcard Eoin Toal 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 4 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Josh Sheehan 12' goal
  • Ricardo Santos 16' yellowcard
  • Dion Charles 21' goal
  • Dion Charles 34' goal
  • Dion Charles 45'+4' goal
  • Nathan Baxter 81' yellowcard
  • Kyle Dempsey 87' goal
  • Randell Williams 88' yellowcard
  • Scott Arfield 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Wing 11'
  • goal Ben Elliott 41'
  • goal Sam Smith 57'
  • yellowcard Harvey Knibbs 71'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 4 2
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Aaron Collins 11' goal
  • Aaron Collins 11' goal
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 16' yellowcard
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 16' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 45'+4' goal
  • Aaron Collins 45'+4' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 49' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 49' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 53' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 53' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 77' goal
  • Aaron Collins 77' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+5' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lewis Wing 40'
  • goal Lewis Wing 40'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 90'+2'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Dominic Ballard 30' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 77' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 79' yellowcard
  • Caylan Vickers 86' goal
  • Femi Azeez 87' yellowcard
  • Amadou Mbengue 87' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 90'+2' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Eoin Toal 16'
  • goal Dion Charles 20'
  • yellowcard Randell Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Cameron Jerome 76'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 76'
  • redcard Eoin Toal 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2019 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • Craig Noone 35' yellowcard
  • Andrew Taylor 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Hobbs 90' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 53'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 60'
  • yellowcard John Swift 63'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 74'