Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.