Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.