Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.05% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%) , while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.