Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.