League One
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Joel Colwill 22' goal
  • Perry Ng 58' goal
  • Ollie Tanner 61' goal
  • David Turnbull 65' yellowcard
  • Cian Ashford 66' yellowcard
  • Rubin Colwill 66' yellowcard
  • Callum Robinson 74' yellowcard
  • Omari Kellyman 87' goal
  • Calum Scanlon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathew Stevens 37'
  • goal Mathew Stevens 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Antwoine Hackford 74'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 74'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bauer 74'
  • yellowcard Zack Nelson 86'

Cardiff City vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff 3 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 3 - 3 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.17% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%) , while for a AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-2 (5.47%).

Result

Cardiff City 58.23% (-0.52)
Draw 22.17% (+0.66)
AFC Wimbledon 19.6% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% (+0.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.74% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 19.26% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 58.95% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 41.05% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 35.93% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 64.07% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 22.08% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 77.92% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 42.84% (-1.48)
Draw 39.39% (+0.15)
AFC Wimbledon 17.77% (+1.33)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 65.29% (-0.05)
No Goal 4.96% (+0.16)
AFC Wimbledon 29.75% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 58.37% (+1.42)
Equal 8 11.47% (-0.04)
Under 8 30.16% (-1.38)
Over 9 46.63% (+1.35)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.09)
Under 9 41.63% (-1.42)
Over 10.5 35.6% (+1.15)
Under 10.5 64.4% (-1.15)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 57.65% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 42.35% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 30.7% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 69.3% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 13.13% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 86.87% (-0.26)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 57.5% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 42.5% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 25.43% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 74.57% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 8.33% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 91.67% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 2.26% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 97.74% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 58.23%
Draw 22.17%
AFC Wimbledon 19.6%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 10.56% (+0.25)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.31)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.53% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.20)
Other @ 12.94% (+0.16)
Total : 58.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 4.96% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.11)
Total : 22.17%
AFC Wimbledon
1-2 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Total : 19.6%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Dec 2, 2025 7.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luey Giles 88' goal
  • goal Aron Sasu 29'
  • goal Aron Sasu 46'
  • goal Omar Bugiel 49'
  • goal Aron Sasu 54'
  • goal Aron Sasu 76'
League One
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Cup
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Craig Noone 45' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Meades 26'