League One Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yousef Salech

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw has a probability of 21.55% and a win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a AFC Wimbledon win it is 1-2 (5.45%).

Result

Cardiff City 58.71% (+0.79)
Draw 21.55% (+0.24)
AFC Wimbledon 19.74% (-0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.45% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 19.55% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 58.51% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.74% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 64.26% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 21.82% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 78.18% (+0.20)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 44.32% (+0.40)
Draw 39.25% (-0.87)
AFC Wimbledon 16.44% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 65.33% (-0.74)
No Goal 4.82% (-0.05)
AFC Wimbledon 29.85% (+0.79)

Corners

Over 8 56.95% (+1.43)
Equal 8 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.54% (-1.43)
Over 9 45.29% (+1.30)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.13)
Under 9 43.05% (-1.43)
Over 10.5 34.46% (+1.08)
Under 10.5 65.54% (-1.08)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 57.39% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 42.61% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 30.68% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 69.32% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 12.87% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 87.13% (-0.27)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 57.24% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 42.76% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 25.24% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 74.76% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 8.02% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 91.98% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 2.16% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 97.84% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 58.7%
Draw 21.56%
AFC Wimbledon 19.73%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 10.31% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.18% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.67% (+0.30)
3-0 @ 6.15% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.79% (+0.04)
Other @ 12.78% (+0.23)
Total : 58.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.03)
Total : 21.56%
AFC Wimbledon
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.07% (-0.33)
Total : 19.73%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Dec 2, 2025 7.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luey Giles 88' goal
  • goal Aron Sasu 29'
  • goal Aron Sasu 46'
  • goal Omar Bugiel 49'
  • goal Aron Sasu 54'
  • goal Aron Sasu 76'
League One
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Cup
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Craig Noone 45' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Meades 26'