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Feb 10, 2026 7.00pm
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AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Northampton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 43.15% (+0.05)
Draw 27.39% (+0.02)
Northampton Town 29.46% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.77% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.12% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.88% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 42.04%
Under 2.5 57.96%
Over 3.5 20.61%
Under 3.5 79.39%
Over 4.5 10.86%
Under 4.5 89.14%

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 31.23%
Draw 47.44%
Northampton Town 21.33%

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 52.6% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.28%
Northampton Town 38.12% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.27%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 34.13%
Over 9 42.76%
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.73%
Over 10.5 32.27% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 67.73% (+0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 36.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.34% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.26% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.64% (-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.75% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.25% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.38% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.3% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.74% (+0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 43.16%
Draw 27.4%
Northampton Town 29.46%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.82% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-0 @ 4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 4.35% (+0.01)
Total : 43.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.4%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Conor McCarthy 10' goal
  • Jordan Thorniley 26' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 50' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 59' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 76' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Browne 16'
  • yellowcard Nathan Asiimwe 47'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 85'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 86'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • goal Jon Guthrie 27'
  • goal Ryley Towler 69' (OG)
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT PTS Academy Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Fraser Horsfall 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Csoka 17'
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 34'
  • goal Anthony Hartigan 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Alex Woodyard 74' yellowcard
  • Joe Pigott 88' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 90'+3' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Fraser Horsfall 12' yellowcard
  • Matthew Warburton 19' goal
  • R. Korboa 31' goal
  • goal Ethan Chislett 1'
  • goal Nesta Guinness-Walker 23'
  • yellowcard Joe Pigott 35'