Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.