League One Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Tyrese Shade

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 4 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Yousef Salech

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 27.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 1-0 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Burton Albion 27.61%
Draw 24.68%
Cardiff City 47.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50%
Under 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.38% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.75% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.25% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 22.67%
Draw 42.66%
Cardiff City 34.67%

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 38.43%
No Goal 6.7%
Cardiff City 54.87%

Corners

Over 8 52.46%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 35.58%
Over 9 40.77%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 47.54%
Over 10.5 30.27%
Under 10.5 69.73%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 28.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.26% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.69%
Under 2.5 90.31%
Over 3.5 2.68%
Under 3.5 97.32%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 76.83% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.17% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.34% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.66% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.93% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.12% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.88% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 27.61%
Draw 24.69%
Cardiff City 47.72%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.22%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.69%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.11% (+0.02)
Total : 47.72%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 30, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2018 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Liam Boyce 12' goal
  • goal Junior Hoilett 32'
  • goal Kenneth Zohore 40'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 45'
  • goal Bobby Reid 55'
  • goal Callum Paterson 72'
Championship
Mar 30, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Craig Bryson 9' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Zohore 16' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 45' goal
  • Callum Paterson 64' goal
  • goal Darren Bent 21'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 37'
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 47'
EFL Cup
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cameron Coxe 33' yellowcard
  • Anthony Pilkington 76' goal
  • goal Tom Naylor 26'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 68'
  • goal Ben Fox 70'
Championship
Aug 5, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle McFadzean 4' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Zohore 87'
Championship
Jan 21, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rhys Healey 91' goal