Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.