FA Cup
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Laurent 21' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 66' yellowcard
  • Hannibal 66' yellowcard
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 81' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 81' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pires 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal R. Oates 53'
  • yellowcard Regan Hendry 60'
  • goal L. Reed 80'
  • yellowcard E. Hewitt 83'
  • yellowcard Luke Bolton 84'
  • yellowcard V. Adeboyejo 84'

Burnley vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 36.43%
Draw 25.49%
Mansfield Town 38.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.61%
Under 1.5 25.39%
Over 2.5 49.68%
Under 2.5 50.32%
Over 3.5 28.15%
Under 3.5 71.8%
Over 4.5 15.32%
Under 4.5 84.68%

First Half Winner

Burnley 30%
Draw 44.37%
Mansfield Town 25.63%

Team To Score First

Burnley 47.35%
No Goal 6.94%
Mansfield Town 45.71%

Corners

Over 8 51.93%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 36.33%
Over 9 40.51%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 48.07%
Over 10.5 30.27%
Under 10.5 69.73%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.89% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.23% (+0.02)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.61%
Under 0.5 29.39%
Over 1.5 37.04%
Under 1.5 62.96%
Over 2.5 14.77% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.23% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.81%
Under 3.5 95.19%

Score analysis

Burnley 36.43%
Draw 25.49%
Mansfield Town 38.08%
Burnley
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 36.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 25.49%
Mansfield Town
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52%
Other @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Total : 38.08%