Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.