Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 3 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 5.30pm
Chelsea 3 - 2 West Ham
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jarrod Bowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for West Ham United has a probability of 30.14% and a draw has a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest West Ham United win is 0-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Burnley 43.69% (+0.04)
Draw 26.17% (-0.08)
West Ham United 30.14% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.79% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.54% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.46% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 29.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.69% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.14% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.86% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Burnley 32.79% (+0.25)
Draw 43.12% (-0.41)
West Ham United 24.09% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Burnley 50.21% (+0.22)
No Goal 6.81% (-0.03)
West Ham United 42.98% (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 59.7% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.44% (-0.04)
Under 8 28.86% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.85% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.85% (-0.02)
Under 9 40.3% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 36.62% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 63.38% (-0.10)

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 42.51% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.49% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.69% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.31% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.55% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.45% (+0.05)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 65.79% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.21% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.13% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.59% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.41% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.32% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.68% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Burnley 43.68%
Draw 26.16%
West Ham United 30.15%
Burnley
1-0 @ 10.29% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 6.45% (-0.01)
Total : 43.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.03)
Total : 26.16%
West Ham United
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.22% (+0.02)
Total : 30.15%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT London Stadium
  • Tomas Soucek 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 46' goal
  • Lucas Paqueta 83' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 90'+1' goal
  • goal David Datro Fofana 11'
  • goal Konstantinos Mavropanos 45'+1' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 64'
  • yellowcard Hannes Delcroix 72'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 76'
  • yellowcard Maxime Esteve 84'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Jordan Beyer 32' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 49' goal
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 39'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 39'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Coufal 66'
  • goal Dara O'Shea 86' (OG)
  • goal Tomas Soucek 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lukasz Fabianski 45' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 67' yellowcard
  • Tomas Soucek 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Cork 11'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 33'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 67'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2021 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charlie Taylor 33' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Dawson 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 3, 2021 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Chris Wood 19' goal
  • Ben Mee 85' yellowcard
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Michail Antonio 21'
  • goal Michail Antonio 29'
  • yellowcard Craig Dawson 86'

Build-up

Feature