Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.45% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.