Premier League
Sunderland
Dec 28, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Simon Adingra 28' goal
  • Trai Hume 61' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 47'

Sunderland vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

Head to head

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Simon Adingra

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Sunderland 31.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 25.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Leeds United 42.62% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 30.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.08)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Sunderland 31.47%
Draw 25.9%
Leeds United 42.61%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 42.61%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 33
Leeds
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Ao Tanaka 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 78' goal
  • Junior Firpo 90' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+5' goal
  • goal Wilson Isidor 32'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 56'
  • yellowcard Trai Hume 61'
  • yellowcard Dennis Cirkin 80'
  • yellowcard Anthony Patterson 83'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sunderland
Oct 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
Leeds
  • Chris Rigg 9' goal
  • Jobe Bellingham 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Neill 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Rigg 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 39'
  • goal Junior Firpo 56'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 68'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 42
Leeds
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Glen Kamara 70' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 21'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 57'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 62'
Championship Gameweek 21
Sunderland
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
Leeds
  • Luke O'Nien 40' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 78' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 28'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 70'
Championship
Leeds
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sunderland
  • Pablo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 75' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 83' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 90' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 90' redcard
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 12'
  • goal Paddy McNair 49'
  • yellowcard Lamine Kone 70'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 90'
Championship
Sunderland
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Leeds
  • Brendan Galloway 36' yellowcard
  • Lamine Kone 69' yellowcard
  • Didier Ndong 82' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Saiz 21'
  • yellowcard Felix Wiedwald 68'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 76'

Form Data

Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Sunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 3 - 0 Sunderland
Liverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland
Sunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Brentford 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 3 Liverpool
Leeds 3 - 1 Chelsea
Man City 3 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Feature