Premier League
Sunderland
Dec 28, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Simon Adingra 28' goal
  • Trai Hume 61' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 47'

Sunderland vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Sunderland 31.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 25.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Leeds United 42.62% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 30.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.08)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Sunderland 31.47%
Draw 25.9%
Leeds United 42.61%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 42.61%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 33
Leeds
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Ao Tanaka 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 78' goal
  • Junior Firpo 90' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+5' goal
  • goal Wilson Isidor 32'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 56'
  • yellowcard Trai Hume 61'
  • yellowcard Dennis Cirkin 80'
  • yellowcard Anthony Patterson 83'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sunderland
Oct 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
Leeds
  • Chris Rigg 9' goal
  • Jobe Bellingham 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Neill 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Rigg 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 39'
  • goal Junior Firpo 56'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 68'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 42
Leeds
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Glen Kamara 70' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 21'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 57'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 62'
Championship Gameweek 21
Sunderland
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
Leeds
  • Luke O'Nien 40' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 78' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 28'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 70'
Championship
Leeds
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sunderland
  • Pablo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 75' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 83' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 90' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 90' redcard
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 12'
  • goal Paddy McNair 49'
  • yellowcard Lamine Kone 70'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 90'
Championship
Sunderland
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Leeds
  • Brendan Galloway 36' yellowcard
  • Lamine Kone 69' yellowcard
  • Didier Ndong 82' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Saiz 21'
  • yellowcard Felix Wiedwald 68'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 76'

Form Data

Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Sunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 3 - 0 Sunderland
Liverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland
Sunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Brentford 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 3 Liverpool
Leeds 3 - 1 Chelsea
Man City 3 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Feature