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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2026 at 8.15pm UK
 
Manchester United logo

vs.

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Burnley and Manchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. Burnley
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, December 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Next Game: Leeds vs. Man Utd
Sunday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 24.58% and a draw has a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Burnley win is 2-1 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester United
24.58%22.73%52.69%
Both teams to score 58.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76%41.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.36%63.64%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79%30.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63%66.37%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3%15.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23%44.77%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 24.58%
    Manchester United 52.69%
    Draw 22.73%
BurnleyDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 6.29%
1-0 @ 5.68%
2-0 @ 3.4%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-1 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 6.01%
0-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.78%
0-4 @ 2.32%
2-4 @ 1.66%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.69%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
gameweek 35
Man Utd
1-1
Burnley
Antony (79')
Antony (43')
Amdouni (87' pen.)
Odobert (42'), Cullen (60'), Esteve (90+2')
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
gameweek 6
Burnley
0-1
Man Utd

Beyer (90+3')
Evans (25'), Fernandes (45')
Dalot (13'), Reguilon (55')
Dec 21, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Man Utd
2-0
Burnley
Eriksen (27'), Rashford (57')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
gameweek 24
Burnley
1-1
Man Utd
Rodriguez (47')
Pieters (74'), Brownhill (77')
Pogba (18')
Maguire (62')