Premier League
Burnley
Dec 30, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Newcastle
  • Josh Laurent 23' goal
  • Kyle Walker 28' yellowcard
  • Florentino Luis 32' yellowcard
  • goal Joelinton 2'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 7'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 28'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 90'+3'

Burnley vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Nick Woltemade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 26.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 25.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Newcastle United 48.09% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.2% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 50.8% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 3.5 27.31% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 72.69% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 12.85% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 87.15% ▲ (+0.25)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 66.3% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 0.5 33.7% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 29.64% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 1.5 70.36% ▲ (+0.37)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 78.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 21.14% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 46.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 53.99% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Burnley 26.59%
Draw 25.32%
Newcastle United 48.09%
Burnley
1-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.32%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.09%

Head to Head

Premier League
Newcastle
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Burnley
  • Bruno Guimaraes 31' goal
  • Tino Livramento 52' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 45'+8' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 35'
  • redcard Lucas Pires 43'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 89'
  • goal Zian Flemming 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Burnley
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Turf Moor
Newcastle
  • Maxime Esteve 37' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 51' yellowcard
  • Dara O'Shea 86' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 18'
  • goal Callum Wilson 19'
  • goal Sean Longstaff 35'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 40'
  • goal Alexander Isak 55'
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 72'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Newcastle
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. James' Park
Burnley
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 17' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 18' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 18' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 76' goal
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 29'
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 29'
  • yellowcard Jordan Beyer 40'
  • yellowcard Jordan Beyer 40'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 53'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Burnley
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Newcastle
  • James Tarkowski 65' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 69' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 20'
  • goal Callum Wilson 60'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Newcastle
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Burnley
  • Callum Wilson 40' goal
  • Javi Manquillo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 75'
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET St. James' Park
Burnley
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 79'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 80'

Form Data

Burnley 0 - 0 Everton
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 2 - 3 Fulham
Newcastle 2 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace
Brentford 3 - 1 Burnley
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 2 Chelsea
Newcastle 2 - 1 Fulham
Sunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle
B. Leverkusen 2 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 1 Burnley

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Head to head