Premier League
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patrick Dorgu 24' goal
  • Luke Shaw 69' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 73'

Manchester United vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 4.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
Newcastle 2 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Malick Thiaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 46.9% (-0.02)
Draw 23.65% (+0.01)
Newcastle United 29.45% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.97% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.34% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.66% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.94% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.06% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.97% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.02% (+0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 82.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.99% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.85% (+0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 73.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.18% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester United 46.9%
Draw 23.64%
Newcastle United 29.45%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.64%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.16% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.45%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Sandro Tonali 24' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 49' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 64' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 77' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 16'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 37'
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 43'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Lisandro Martinez 61' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Isak 4'
  • goal Joelinton 19'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 80'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 15, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Kobbie Mainoo 31' goal
  • Amad Diallo 57' goal
  • Casemiro 62' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 81' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 84' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 37'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 49'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 68'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 78'
  • goal Lewis Hall 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 55' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 77'
  • yellowcard Antony 90'+2'
EFL Cup
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Hannibal Mejbri 14' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 19' yellowcard
  • Sergio Reguilon 77' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 79' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Almiron 29'
  • goal Lewis Hall 36'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 46'
  • goal Joe Willock 61'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 82'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Willock 65' goal
  • Callum Wilson 88' goal

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups