Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.