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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Newcastle logo

vs.

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Manchester United and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 4-4 Bournemouth
Monday, December 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Aston Villa vs. Man Utd
Sunday, December 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 29.76% and a draw has a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
46.51% (-0.165 -0.16)23.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)29.76% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (0.226 0.23)41.82% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (0.228 0.23)64.22% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.22% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (0.238 0.24)26.74% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (0.314 0.31)62.01% (-0.312 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 46.51%
    Newcastle United 29.76%
    Draw 23.71%
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.76%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 4.30pm
gameweek 32
Newcastle
4-1
Man Utd
Tonali (24'), Barnes (49', 64'), Guimaraes (77')
Garnacho (37')
Ugarte (16'), Yoro (43')
Dec 30, 2024 8pm
gameweek 19
Man Utd
0-2
Newcastle

Martinez (61')
Isak (4'), Joelinton (19')
Schar (80')
May 15, 2024 8pm
gameweek 34
Man Utd
3-2
Newcastle
Mainoo (31'), Diallo (57'), Hojlund (84')
Casemiro (62'), Diallo (81'), Amrabat (87')
Gordon (49'), Hall (90+2')
Anderson (37'), Gordon (68'), Schar (78')
Dec 2, 2023 8pm
gameweek 14
Newcastle
1-0
Man Utd
Gordon (55')
Joelinton (90+7')

Maguire (77'), Antony (90+2')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Round of 16
Man Utd
0-3
Newcastle

Mejbri (14'), Casemiro (19'), Reguilon (77'), Amrabat (79')
Almiron (29'), Hall (36'), Willock (61')
Willock (46'), Joelinton (82')
rhs 2.0


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