Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (10.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.