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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2026 at 12.30pm UK
 
Manchester United logo

vs.

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Leeds United and Manchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds
Sunday, December 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Leeds
Thursday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, December 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 35.13% and a draw has a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.64%).

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
41.26% (-0.07 -0.07)23.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)35.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.64% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.397 -0.4)39.23% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.416 -0.42)61.56% (0.417 0.42)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.199 -0.2)19.36% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (-0.325 -0.33)51.15% (0.326 0.33)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.187 -0.19)22.33% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (-0.279 -0.28)55.8% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 41.26%
    Manchester United 35.13%
    Draw 23.61%
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.13%

Head to Head
Jul 19, 2025
3pm
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd   Fallback club logo
vs.
Fallback club logo   Leeds
Jul 19, 2025 2pm
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
0-0
Leeds
Jul 19, 2025
10am
Jul 12, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
Man Utd
2-0
Leeds
Emeran (67'), Hugill (81')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
gameweek 23
Leeds
0-2
Man Utd
Rashford (80'), Garnacho (85')