Premier League
Dec 30, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joshua Zirkzee 27' goal
  • goal Ladislav Krejci 45'
  • yellowcard Jackson Tchatchoua 63'
  • yellowcard Jorgen Strand Larsen 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jorgen Strand Larsen 90'+6'

Manchester United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.54% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%) , while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 68.18% (+0.02)
Draw 18.54% (-0.01)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 13.29% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.87% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.13% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.51% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 62.49% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.17% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 79.83% (-0.03)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 89.23% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 10.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 65.23% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 34.77% (-0.03)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 58.14% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.86% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 21.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.31% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 68.17%
Draw 18.54%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 13.29%
Manchester United
2-0 @ 11.19%
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 7.24% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 68.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 18.54%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.81%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 13.29%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 44' yellowcard
  • Ladislav Krejci 46' yellowcard
  • Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 45'+2' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 81' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 25'
  • yellowcard Bryan Mbeumo 38'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 51'
  • goal Mason Mount 62'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 82'
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Patrick Dorgu 56' yellowcard
  • Christian Eriksen 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre 29'
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 48'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 77'
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 80'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Joao Gomes 33' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 58' goal
  • Matt Doherty 90' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 18'
  • redcard Bruno Fernandes 47'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 54'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2024 8.15pm
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Craig Dawson 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sarabia 71' goal
  • Max Kilman 85' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 89' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Casemiro 3'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 5'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 22'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 48'
  • goal Scott McTominay 75'
  • yellowcard Andre Onana 78'
  • goal Kobbie Mainoo 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 90'+10'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Lisandro Martinez 17' yellowcard
  • Luke Shaw 44' yellowcard
  • Raphael Varane 76' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 27'
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 35'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 69'
  • yellowcard Gary O'Neil 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anthony Martial 32' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 90'+4' goal

Build-up

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