FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Millwall

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 29.24% and a draw has a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.94%).

Result

Burnley 29.24%
Draw 24.64%
Millwall 46.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.93%
Under 1.5 28.07%
Over 2.5 46.83%
Under 2.5 53.17%
Over 3.5 24.75%
Under 3.5 75.25%
Over 4.5 13.22%
Under 4.5 86.78%

First Half Winner

Burnley 24.58%
Draw 44.51%
Millwall 30.91%

Team To Score First

Burnley 40.65%
No Goal 7.55%
Millwall 51.8%

Corners

Over 8 56.18%
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 32.8%
Over 9 45.09%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 43.82%
Over 10.5 34.78%
Under 10.5 65.22%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 28.22%
Under 1.5 71.78%
Over 2.5 9.63%
Under 2.5 90.37%
Over 3.5 2.74%
Under 3.5 97.26%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 74.36%
Under 0.5 25.64%
Over 1.5 41.27%
Under 1.5 58.73%
Over 2.5 17%
Under 2.5 83%
Over 3.5 5.62%
Under 3.5 94.38%

Score analysis

Burnley 29.24%
Draw 24.66%
Millwall 46.11%
Burnley
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-1 @ 6.78%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.66%
Millwall
0-1 @ 11.92%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-2 @ 8.38%
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.61%
Total : 46.11%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Brownhill 13' goal
  • Jaidon Anthony 65' goal
  • Josh Brownhill 90'+3' goal
  • Josh Brownhill 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Mihailo Ivanovic 11'
Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Jake Cooper 21' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 23' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 52' goal
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 88'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 85' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 51'
Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Vitinho 62' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 72' goal
EFL Cup
Sep 23, 2020 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Josh Brownhill 45'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 53'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 56'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 78'
  • goal Matej Vydra 90'+3'
Championship
Feb 8, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 29' goal
  • Danny Ings 39' yellowcard
  • Dean Marney 47' goal
  • Danny Ings 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ed Upson 24'
  • goal Martyn Woolford 27'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 89'