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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Bristol City |
| 39.32% ( | 26.85% ( | 33.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( | 53.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( | 75.41% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( | 26.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( | 62.12% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( | 66.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.84% |