Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.