Championship
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 17' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 36' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 62' goal
  • Cameron Pring 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 25'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 87'

Bristol City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Coventry 1 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 1 QPR
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Bristol City 34.47% (-0.01)
Draw 25.16%
Middlesbrough 40.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.85% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 46.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.04% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.95% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.4% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.6% (+0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 73.82% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.26% (+0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 77.02% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.98% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.23% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.77% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bristol City 34.47%
Draw 25.16%
Middlesbrough 40.37%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.95%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 34.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.16%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-2 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • George Earthy 72' goal
  • George Earthy 82' goal
  • goal Tommy Conway 37'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 78'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Hayden Hackney 3' yellowcard
  • Rav van den Berg 8' yellowcard
  • Finn Azaz 13' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 50' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 56' yellowcard
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 27'
  • yellowcard Ross McCrorie 41'
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 43'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard George Earthy 83'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Dan Barlaser 73' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jason Knight 16'
  • goal Matty James 17'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 37' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 42' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 45'+1' goal
  • Mark Sykes 67' goal
  • Cameron Pring 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 44'
  • goal Zak Vyner 50' (OG)
  • goal Matt Crooks 52'
  • yellowcard Sam Greenwood 63'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 45'+1' goal
  • Harry Cornick 49' goal
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 58'
  • goal Matt Crooks 64'
Championship Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 47' goal
  • goal Andreas Weimann 10'