Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.