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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 34.47% ( | 25.16% | 40.37% |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( | 68.95% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( | 26.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( | 61.26% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( | 22.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.47% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.37% |