Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.