Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.