Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-0 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.