Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.