Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.