Premier League
Arsenal
Dec 30, 2025 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Mikel Merino 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 48' goal
  • Martin Zubimendi 52' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 69' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 78' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 81'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 82'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+7'

Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mikel Merino

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.76% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%) , while for a Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 65.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 19.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Aston Villa 14.93% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.11% ▼ (-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.93% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 42.07% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 64.47% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 4.5 18.66% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 4.5 81.34% ▲ (+0.52)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 87.9% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 12.09% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 62.36% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 1.5 37.64% ▲ (+0.39)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 40.72% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 1.5 22.69% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 77.3% ▲ (+0.56)

Score analysis

Arsenal 65.3%
Draw 19.76%
Aston Villa 14.93%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 10.98% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 10.4% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 65.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 19.76%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 14.93%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aston Villa
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Matty Cash 36' goal
  • Emiliano Buendia 90'+5' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 52'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 72'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 74'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 75'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Arsenal
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Mikel Arteta 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 35' goal
  • Kai Havertz 55' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 67' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 20'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 60'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 63'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 68'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 78'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Arsenal
  • Amadou Onana 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 57'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 67'
  • goal Thomas Partey 77'
  • yellowcard Martin Odegaard 89'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Arsenal
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Ben White 36' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 14'
  • goal Leon Bailey 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 87'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Arsenal
  • John McGinn 7' goal
  • Lucas Digne 53' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 62' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 28'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 77'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Ollie Watkins 5' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 31' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 16'
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 61'
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 90'+3' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 90'+8'

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton
Arsenal 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 1 Wolves
Brugge 0 - 3 Arsenal
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal
Chelsea 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man Utd
West Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Basel 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa

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