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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
 
Aston Villa logo

vs.

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace (8-7 pen.)
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Next Game: Arsenal vs. Brighton
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Man Utd
Sunday, December 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa
Saturday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw has a probability of 21.24% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a Aston Villa win it is 0-1 (5.1%).

Result
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
61.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.24% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)17.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (0.028999999999996 0.03)44.19% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (0.028999999999996 0.03)66.57% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (0.025000000000006 0.03)13.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (0.047000000000004 0.05)41.28% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)38.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 61.41%
    Aston Villa 17.33%
    Draw 21.24%
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.33%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Arsenal
Cash (36'), Buendia (90+5')
Trossard (52')
Calafiori (72'), Saka (74'), Saka (75')
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
gameweek 22
Arsenal
2-2
Aston Villa
Martinelli (35'), Havertz (55')
Arteta (30'), Trossard (67'), Sterling (90+4')
Tielemans (60'), Watkins (68')
Maatsen (20'), Emery (63'), Kamara (78'), Rogers (90+5')
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 2
Aston Villa
0-2
Arsenal

Onana (72')
Trossard (67'), Partey (77')
Rice (45+3'), Magalhaes (57'), Odegaard (89')
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
gameweek 33
Arsenal
0-2
Aston Villa

White (36'), Magalhaes (45'), Havertz (63')
Bailey (84'), Watkins (87')
Rogers (14')
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Aston Villa
1-0
Arsenal
McGinn (7')
Digne (53'), Luiz (62'), McGinn (73'), Carlos (88')

Zinchenko (28'), Rice (77')
rhs 2.0


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