League One Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 1 Bradford
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw has a probability of 26.74% and a win for Reading has a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Reading win it is 0-1 (7.64%).

Result

Luton Town 50.8% (+1.21)
Draw 26.74% (-0.53)
Reading 22.49% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.24% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.68% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 30.32% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 44.9% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 55.1% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 23.64% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 76.36% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 12.92% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 87.08% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 36.74% (-0.04)
Draw 41.07% (-0.32)
Reading 22.19% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 54.28% (+0.75)
No Goal 9.31% (-0.25)
Reading 36.41% (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 60.28% (-1.70)
Equal 8 11.27% (+0.20)
Under 8 28.45% (+1.50)
Over 9 48.57% (-1.75)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.07)
Under 9 39.72% (+1.70)
Over 10.5 37.41% (-1.67)
Under 10.5 62.59% (+1.67)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.19% (+1.22)
Under 1.5 55.81% (-1.22)
Over 2.5 19.38% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 80.62% (-0.95)
Over 3.5 6.8% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 93.2% (-0.46)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 56.33% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 43.67% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 22.62% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 77.38% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 6.83% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 93.17% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 1.7% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 98.3% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Luton Town 50.79%
Draw 26.75%
Reading 22.5%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 9.43% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.88% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.54% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.33% (+0.08)
Other @ 6.68% (+0.48)
Total : 50.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.03)
Total : 26.75%
Reading
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.58% (-0.16)
Total : 22.5%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Wing 8' goal
  • Jack Marriott 52' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 72' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 78' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Clark 59'
  • goal Nigel Lonwijk 76'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 77'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Andy Carroll 51' goal
  • goal Carlton Morris 80'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Championship Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Cornick 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Baba Rahman 41'
Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Drinkwater 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Joao 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Holmes 33' (OG)
  • goal Allan Campbell 58'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Sonny Bradley 44' yellowcard
  • James Collins 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 35'