League One Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Stevenage 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Reading has a probability of 35.77% and a draw has a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Port Vale 37.09% (-0.07)
Draw 27.17% (+0.03)
Reading 35.77% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.34% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 28.66% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 46.66% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.34% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.09% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.91% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 12.93% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.07% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 27.43% (+0.01)
Draw 43.6% (+0.03)
Reading 28.98% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 44.9% (+0.06)
No Goal 8.1% (-0.04)
Reading 47% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.2% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 28.32% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.26%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 39.8% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.9% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.1% (+0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 35.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.93% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.4% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.02% (-0.02)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 68.5% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 31.5% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 34.43% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.57% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.29% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Port Vale 37.09%
Draw 27.16%
Reading 35.77%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 37.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.1% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 27.16%
Reading
0-1 @ 9.97% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6% (+0.03)
Total : 35.77%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 28
Feb 20, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Lewis Wing 76' goal
  • Harvey Knibbs 83' goal
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ben Garrity 72' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Carroll 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Lewis Wing 76'