League One
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Jayden Stockley 61' yellowcard
  • Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 62' yellowcard
  • Martin Sherif 62' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 62' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Heneghan 89' yellowcard
  • Martin Sherif 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Wing 39'
  • yellowcard Jeriel Dorsett 67'
  • yellowcard Paddy Lane 73'
  • yellowcard Randell Williams 73'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 85'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 85'

Port Vale vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Stevenage 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 36.99% (+0.06)
Draw 27.17%
Reading 35.84% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.28% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.72% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.37% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.09% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.91% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.94% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.06% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 27.43% (+0.01)
Draw 43.6% (+0.03)
Reading 28.98% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 44.89% (+0.07)
No Goal 8.12%
Reading 46.99% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.2% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 28.32% (-0.01)
Over 9 48.26% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 39.8% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 36.9%
Under 10.5 63.1%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 34.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.02% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.35% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.65% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.03% (-0.02)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.47% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.53% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.76%
Under 2.5 87.24%
Over 3.5 3.77%
Under 3.5 96.23%

Score analysis

Port Vale 36.98%
Draw 27.17%
Reading 35.85%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 3.82% (+0.03)
Total : 36.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.17%
Reading
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 35.85%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 28
Feb 20, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Lewis Wing 76' goal
  • Harvey Knibbs 83' goal
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ben Garrity 72' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Carroll 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Lewis Wing 76'