Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.