League One Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • B. Hanlan 60' goal
  • Ben Close 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Clifton 66' yellowcard
  • goal Kasey Palmer 27'
  • yellowcard J. Richards 66'
  • yellowcard George Alan Saville 73'
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 73'
  • yellowcard Devante Cole 73'

Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Plymouth 2 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Owen Bailey

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 2 - 3 Reading
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result

Doncaster Rovers 41.74% (-0.13)
Draw 25.61% (+0.04)
Luton Town 32.65% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.35% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.65% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.11% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.89% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.12% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.88% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Doncaster Rovers 31.4% (+0.03)
Draw 41.92% (-0.04)
Luton Town 26.68%

Team To Score First

Doncaster Rovers 46.45% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.71%
Luton Town 46.84% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.58% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 26.43%
Over 9 50.95% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 37.42% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 39.67% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 60.33% (+0.01)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 41.37% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.63% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 17.64% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.36% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.04% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.96% (+0.04)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.4% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 32.6% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 33.9% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 66.1% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 12.9% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 87.1% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.03% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.97% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 41.74%
Draw 25.61%
Luton Town 32.65%
Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 5.89% (-0.05)
Total : 41.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.06% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.88% (+0.03)
Total : 32.65%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 23, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Pelly Ruddock 33' goal
  • Danny Hylton 57' goal
  • Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 68' yellowcard
  • Kazenga LuaLua 82' goal
  • Luke Berry 92' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Lewis 11'
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 45'
  • yellowcard James Coppinger 78'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 8, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Keepmoat Stadium (Doncaster, South Yorkshire)
  • Matty Blair 6' goal
  • Ben Whiteman 46' goal
  • Joe Wright 55' yellowcard
  • Matty Blair 61' yellowcard
  • Marko Marosi 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Collins 35'
  • goal Elliot Lee 45'
League Two
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Butler 15' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 80' goal
  • goal Jordan Cook 54'
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 66'
League Two
Sep 24, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Hylton 34' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 36' goal
  • Jack Marriott 41' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 81' goal
  • Dan Potts 93' yellowcard
  • Danny Hylton 95' redcard
  • goal James Coppinger 21'
  • yellowcard Cedric Evina 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 80'
League One
Apr 26, 2008 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matthew Mills 34' goal
  • Mark McCammon 82' goal
  • Mark McCammon 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Spring 28'

Build-up

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