Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.