League One Gameweek 25
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Doncaster 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Owen Bailey

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff 3 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 25.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).

Result

Doncaster Rovers 50.61% (+50.61)
Draw 24.41% (+24.41)
Luton Town 25.01% (+25.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% (+57.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.44% (+78.44)
Under 1.5 21.56% (+21.56)
Over 2.5 55.45% (+55.45)
Under 2.5 44.55% (+44.55)
Over 3.5 32.68% (+32.68)
Under 3.5 67.32% (+67.32)
Over 4.5 19.19% (+19.20)
Under 4.5 80.81% (+80.81)

First Half Winner

Doncaster Rovers 37.65% (+37.65)
Draw 40.74% (+40.74)
Luton Town 21.61% (+21.61)

Team To Score First

Doncaster Rovers 56.84% (+56.84)
No Goal 5.85% (+5.85)
Luton Town 37.31% (+37.31)

Corners

Over 8 65.69% (+65.69)
Equal 8 10.8% (+10.80)
Under 8 23.51% (+23.51)
Over 9 53.92% (+53.92)
Equal 9 11.77% (+11.77)
Under 9 34.31% (+34.31)
Over 10.5 42.23% (+42.23)
Under 10.5 57.77% (+57.77)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 50.34% (+50.34)
Under 1.5 49.66% (+49.66)
Over 2.5 24.88% (+24.88)
Under 2.5 75.12% (+75.12)
Over 3.5 9.57% (+9.57)
Under 3.5 90.43% (+90.43)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.34% (+62.34)
Under 0.5 37.66% (+37.66)
Over 1.5 29.4% (+29.40)
Under 1.5 70.6% (+70.60)
Over 2.5 10.24% (+10.24)
Under 2.5 89.76% (+89.76)
Over 3.5 2.94% (+2.94)
Under 3.5 97.06% (+97.06)

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 50.62%
Draw 24.41%
Luton Town 25.02%
Doncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 9.33% (+9.33)
Total : 50.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.24)
Total : 24.41%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.7% (+2.70)
Total : 25.02%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 23, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Pelly Ruddock 33' goal
  • Danny Hylton 57' goal
  • Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 68' yellowcard
  • Kazenga LuaLua 82' goal
  • Luke Berry 92' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Lewis 11'
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 45'
  • yellowcard James Coppinger 78'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 8, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Keepmoat Stadium (Doncaster, South Yorkshire)
  • Matty Blair 6' goal
  • Ben Whiteman 46' goal
  • Joe Wright 55' yellowcard
  • Matty Blair 61' yellowcard
  • Marko Marosi 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Collins 35'
  • goal Elliot Lee 45'
League Two
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Butler 15' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 80' goal
  • goal Jordan Cook 54'
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 66'
League Two
Sep 24, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Hylton 34' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 36' goal
  • Jack Marriott 41' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 81' goal
  • Dan Potts 93' yellowcard
  • Danny Hylton 95' redcard
  • goal James Coppinger 21'
  • yellowcard Cedric Evina 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 80'
League One
Apr 26, 2008 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matthew Mills 34' goal
  • Mark McCammon 82' goal
  • Mark McCammon 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Spring 28'

Build-up

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