Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.