League One
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT Home Park
  • Lorent Tolaj 28' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 31' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 34' goal
  • Matthew Sorinola 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 68' yellowcard
  • Bradley Ibrahim 80' yellowcard
  • Mathias Ross 81' goal
  • X. Amaechi 85' yellowcard
  • Owen Dale 86' yellowcard
  • goal Omari Kellyman 33'
  • goal Omari Kellyman 43'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 46'
  • yellowcard Callum Robinson 62'
  • yellowcard Cian Ashford 62'
  • yellowcard Ronan Kpakio 76'
  • yellowcard Calum Scanlon 88'

Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Leyton Orient 1 - 3 Plymouth
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Plymouth Argyle 27.63%
Draw 26.07%
Cardiff City 46.29% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.1%
Under 1.5 25.9%
Over 2.5 49.58%
Under 2.5 50.42%
Over 3.5 27.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.88% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.49% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.51% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 24.73%
Draw 41.76%
Cardiff City 33.52%

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 40.32% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.36%
Cardiff City 52.32% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.75% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 25.97% (+0.13)
Over 9 50.76% (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.99% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.25% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 39.14% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 60.86% (+0.09)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 28.88% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.52% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.48% (-0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 76.08% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.92% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.35%
Under 1.5 55.65%
Over 2.5 19.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.51% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 27.64%
Draw 26.07%
Cardiff City 46.3%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 26.07%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 10.37% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 2.79%
Other @ 6.33%
Total : 46.3%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Home Park
  • Muhamed Tijani 67' goal
  • Adam Randell 82' yellowcard
  • Maksym Talovierov 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nikola Katic 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Muhamed Tijani 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Yousef Salech 12'
  • redcard Dimitrios Goutas 53'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 90'+12'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 12.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Alex Robertson 16' goal
  • Rubin Colwill 24' goal
  • Callum Robinson 39' yellowcard
  • Perry Ng 42' yellowcard
  • Alex Robertson 48' yellowcard
  • Anwar El Ghazi 52' goal
  • Callum Robinson 75' goal
  • Chris Willock 80' goal
  • redcard Ibrahim Cissoko 41'
  • yellowcard Joe Edwards 88'
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Home Park
  • Ryan Hardie 31' goal
  • Ashley Phillips 35' yellowcard
  • Mickel Miller 41' yellowcard
  • Bali Mumba 50' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hardie 52' goal
  • Dan Scarr 61' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 81' goal
  • goal Perry Ng 10'
  • yellowcard Yakou Meite 36'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 38'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Matt Butcher 31' goal
  • Karlan Grant 47' goal
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 17'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 44'
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 66'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2017 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kenneth Zohore 49'