Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.