League One Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.00pm
Doncaster 3 - 0 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 27.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).

Result

Leyton Orient 46.27% (-0.01)
Draw 26.15% (+0.01)
Port Vale 27.58% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.13% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 28.87% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.6% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.4% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.07%
Under 3.5 75.93%
Over 4.5 12.96%
Under 4.5 87.04%

First Half Winner

Leyton Orient 32.88%
Draw 44.2% (+0.05)
Port Vale 22.93% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Leyton Orient 51.49% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.17%
Port Vale 40.34% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.3% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 27.4% (-0.03)
Over 9 49.45% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 38.7% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 38.08% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 61.92% (-0.02)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 1.5 41.41% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.59% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.86%
Under 3.5 94.14%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 61.4%
Under 0.5 38.6%
Over 1.5 26.8%
Under 1.5 73.2%
Over 2.5 8.47% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.18%
Under 3.5 97.82%

Score analysis

Leyton Orient 46.26%
Draw 26.15%
Port Vale 27.58%
Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 12.03% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.85%
Total : 46.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.15%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.58%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brisbane Road
  • yellowcard Nathan Smith 20'
League One Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • yellowcard Jordan Brown 16'
  • goal Idris El Mizouni 60'
  • yellowcard Theo Archibald 75'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Mitchell 51' yellowcard
  • Shadrach Ogie 70' yellowcard
  • Connor Wood 73' yellowcard
  • Omar Beckles 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 42'
  • yellowcard Brad Walker 79'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Wilson 6' goal
  • Nathan Smith 65' yellowcard
  • J 88' yellowcard
  • Dennis Politic 90'+1' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 28'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 31'
  • yellowcard Shadrach Ogie 37'
  • goal Daniel Jones 60' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tom James 74'
  • goal Tom James 86'
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Matchroom Stadium
  • James Brophy 48' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 63' goal
  • Jobi McAnuff 80' yellowcard
  • goal David Worrall 47'