EFL Trophy
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnorlog.png)
-
Nahki Wells
53'
-
Shayden Morris
55'
-
Kasey Palmer
56'
-
Devante Cole
81'
-
Liam Walsh
82'
-
Nigel Cello Lonwijk
86'
-
Kyle McAdam
17'
-
Sam Hoskins
55'
-
Dean Campbell
55'
-
Cameron McGeehan
55'
-
Michael Forbes
69'
-
Jake Evans
69'
Luton Town vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fwilshere-6915dcd644a16880168952.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.86% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result
Luton Town
63.57%
▲
(+1.55)
Draw
21.86%
▼
(-0.68)
Northampton Town
14.56%
▼
(-0.91)
Both Teams to Score:
45.29%
▼
(-0.58)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.15%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
25.85%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
50.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
49.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
27.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
72.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
16.95%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
83.05%
▼
(-0.16)
First Half Winner
Luton Town
46.65%
▼
(-1.04)
Draw
38.11%
▲
(+0.12)
Northampton Town
15.24%
▲
(+0.92)
Team To Score First
Luton Town
67.37%
▲
(+0.67)
No Goal
7.15%
▲
(+0.15)
Northampton Town
25.48%
▼
(-0.81)
Corners
Over 8
61.69%
▼
(-0.50)
Equal 8
10.63%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 8
27.68%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 9
50.52%
▼
(-0.49)
Equal 9
11.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
38.31%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 10.5
39.73%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 10.5
60.27%
▲
(+0.45)
Luton Town Goals
Over 1.5
55.71%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 1.5
44.29%
▼
(-0.89)
Over 2.5
29.02%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 2.5
70.98%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
12.2%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 3.5
87.8%
▼
(-0.46)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5
47.45%
▼
(-1.81)
Under 0.5
52.55%
▲
(+1.81)
Over 1.5
16.19%
▼
(-0.99)
Under 1.5
83.81%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 2.5
4.22%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
95.78%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
0.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
99.04%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Luton Town
63.57%
Draw
21.86%
Northampton Town
14.57%
Luton Town
1-0
@
13.36%
▲
(+0.14)
2-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.68)
2-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 12.07% ▲ (+0.55)
Total : 63.57%
2-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.68)
2-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 12.07% ▲ (+0.55)
Total : 63.57%
Draw
1-1
@
10.09%
▼
(-0.38)
0-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 21.86%
0-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 21.86%
Northampton Town
0-1
@
5.34%
▼
(-0.47)
1-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.57%
1-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.57%
Head to Head
League One
Club Friendlies 1
-
Mitchell Pinnock
7'
-
Elijah Adebayo
54'
-
Dan Potts
56'
League Two
-
Zander Diamond
4'
-
Josh Lelan
17'
-
John Marquis
36'
-
Cameron McGeehan
73'
League Two
-
Paul Benson
9'
-
Paul Benson
52'
-
Danny Green
66'
-
Magnus Okuonghae
69'
-
Danny Green
88'
-
Scott Griffiths
91'
-
John-Joe O'Toole
18'
-
Lawson D'Ath
30'
-
Marc Richards
42'
-
Ricky Holmes
69'
League Two
-
Brendan Moloney
41'
-
Ricky Holmes
64'
-
James Gray
86'
-
Lewis Kinsella
11'
-
Alex Lawless
46'
-
Paul Benson
52'
-
Michael Harriman
63'
-
Nathan Doyle
89'
League Two
-
Paul Benson
77'
-
Luke Wilkinson
87'
-
Luke Guttridge
91'
-
Enda Stevens
71'
-
Gregor Robertson
85'
-
Ben Tozer
88'