League One Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
LNER Stadium

Lincoln City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Reeco Hackett

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 58%. A draw has a probability of 24.69% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (7.04%).

Result

Lincoln City 58% (-0.97)
Draw 24.69% (+0.68)
Northampton Town 17.31% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.46% (-0.69)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.91% (-2.15)
Under 1.5 32.09% (+2.15)
Over 2.5 42.13% (-2.48)
Under 2.5 57.87% (+2.48)
Over 3.5 21.53% (-1.42)
Under 3.5 78.47% (+1.43)
Over 4.5 12.17% (-1.02)
Under 4.5 87.83% (+1.02)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 36.12% (+0.28)
Draw 44.94% (-1.52)
Northampton Town 18.94% (+1.24)

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 58.1% (+0.11)
No Goal 9.01% (+0.85)
Northampton Town 32.89% (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 56.19% (+0.44)
Equal 8 11.86% (+0.15)
Under 8 31.94% (-0.60)
Over 9 44.25% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.95% (+0.20)
Under 9 43.81% (-0.44)
Over 10.5 33.24% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 66.76% (-0.05)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 46.85% (-2.26)
Under 1.5 53.15% (+2.26)
Over 2.5 21.95% (-1.43)
Under 2.5 78.05% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 7.67% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 92.33% (+0.65)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 49.2% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 50.8% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 16.35% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 83.65% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 4% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 96% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 0.81% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 99.19% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 57.99%
Draw 24.69%
Northampton Town 17.31%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 16.03% (+0.87)
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.52)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.17)
Other @ 7.66% (-0.59)
Total : 57.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 9.01% (+0.85)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.05)
Total : 24.69%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 7.04% (+0.46)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.8% (-0.11)
Total : 17.31%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • TJ Eyoma 59' yellowcard
  • Tariqe Fosu 64' yellowcard
  • goal Tendayi Darikwa 38'
  • yellowcard Ben House 70'
League One Gameweek 5
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Tom Hamer 18' goal
  • Ben House 43' yellowcard
  • Erik Ring 88' goal
  • Freddie Draper 89' yellowcard
  • George Wickens 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Tariqe Fosu 2'
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 17'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 18'
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 35'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 62'
  • redcard Tyler Roberts 75'
  • yellowcard Jon Guthrie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nesta Guinness-Walker 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Teddy Bishop 41' yellowcard
  • TJ Eyoma 61' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Will Hondermarck 25'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 26'
  • goal Jon Guthrie 30'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 45'+2'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 58'
  • yellowcard Akin Odimayo 90'
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 90'+9'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Sam Hoskins 80' yellowcard
  • Louis Appere 86' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 90'+8' goal
  • goal Reeco Hackett 22'
  • goal Paudie O'Connor 78'
League One Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium
  • Conor McGrandles 75' goal
  • Liam Bridcutt 77' yellowcard
  • Anthony Scully 84' goal
  • yellowcard Lloyd Jones 36'
  • goal Danny Rose 90'+6'