League One Gameweek 33
Lincoln
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
Northampton
  • Ryan Oné 11' goal
  • Tendayi Darikwa 30' yellowcard
  • Jack Moylan 51' goal
  • Robert Street 55' yellowcard
  • Dom Jefferies 71' yellowcard
  • Ivan Varfolomeev 71' yellowcard
  • Ivan Varfolomeev 72' goal
  • Robert Street 75' goal
  • Alfie Lloyd 77' yellowcard
  • Ryley Towler 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrese Fornah 55'
  • redcard Jack Vale 56'
  • yellowcard Tom Eaves 67'
  • yellowcard Max Dyche 67'
  • yellowcard Jack Perkins 67'
  • yellowcard Jack Perkins 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Evans 86'

Lincoln City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 1 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.31% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%).

Result

Lincoln City 57.63% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 25.31% ▲ (+0.62)
Northampton Town 17.06% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.6% ▼ (-0.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.98% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 32.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 42.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 57.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 21.8% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 78.2% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 12.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.68% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 39.42% ▲ (+3.31)
Draw 43.33% ▼ (-1.61)
Northampton Town 17.25% ▼ (-1.68)

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 59.65% ▲ (+1.58)
No Goal 9.51% ▲ (+0.46)
Northampton Town 30.84% ▼ (-2.05)

Corners

Over 8 54.9% ▼ (-1.29)
Equal 8 11.58% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 8 33.52% ▲ (+1.59)
Over 9 43.37% ▼ (-0.89)
Equal 9 11.54% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 9 45.1% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 10.5 32.8% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 10.5 67.2% ▲ (+0.44)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 47.15% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 52.85% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 21.68% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 78.32% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 7.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 51% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 16.63% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 83.37% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 2.5 4.26% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 95.74% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 0.93% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 99.07% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 57.64%
Draw 25.31%
Northampton Town 17.07%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 15.77% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 57.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.46)
2-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 25.31%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.28)
1-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 17.07%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 4
Northampton
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
Lincoln
  • Ethan Wheatley 54' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Fornah 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Perkins 87' yellowcard
  • goal Freddie Draper 20'
  • yellowcard Ryley Towler 42'
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 58'
  • yellowcard George Wickens 79'
  • yellowcard Ethan Hamilton 86'
League One Gameweek 27
Northampton
Jan 18, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
Lincoln
  • TJ Eyoma 59' yellowcard
  • Tariqe Fosu 64' yellowcard
  • goal Tendayi Darikwa 38'
  • yellowcard Ben House 70'
League One Gameweek 5
Lincoln
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT LNER Stadium
Northampton
  • Tom Hamer 18' goal
  • Ben House 43' yellowcard
  • Erik Ring 88' goal
  • Freddie Draper 89' yellowcard
  • George Wickens 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Tariqe Fosu 2'
  • yellowcard Jack Baldwin 17'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 18'
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 35'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 62'
  • redcard Tyler Roberts 75'
  • yellowcard Jon Guthrie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nesta Guinness-Walker 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 25
Lincoln
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
Northampton
  • Teddy Bishop 41' yellowcard
  • TJ Eyoma 61' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Will Hondermarck 25'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 26'
  • goal Jon Guthrie 30'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 45'+2'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 58'
  • yellowcard Akin Odimayo 90'
  • yellowcard Tyreece Simpson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 90'+9'
League One Gameweek 3
Northampton
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
Lincoln
  • Sam Hoskins 80' yellowcard
  • Louis Appere 86' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 90'+8' goal
  • goal Reeco Hackett 22'
  • goal Paudie O'Connor 78'
League One Gameweek 25
Lincoln
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium
Northampton
  • Conor McGrandles 75' goal
  • Liam Bridcutt 77' yellowcard
  • Anthony Scully 84' goal
  • yellowcard Lloyd Jones 36'
  • goal Danny Rose 90'+6'

Form Data

Lincoln 1 - 1 Bolton
Plymouth 1 - 4 Lincoln
Wigan 0 - 1 Lincoln
Lincoln 3 - 0 Bradford
Lincoln 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Luton 2 - 2 Lincoln
Exeter 0 - 0 Northampton
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 2 Northampton
Northampton 3 - 1 Stevenage
Barnsley 2 - 2 Northampton
Northampton 0 - 2 Reading
Rotherham 2 - 1 Northampton