League One Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Lincoln 0 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Leyton Orient 1 - 3 Plymouth
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Leyton Orient has a probability of 32.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win is 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Northampton Town 41.63% (+0.04)
Draw 25.73% (-0.01)
Leyton Orient 32.64% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.48% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.92% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.04% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.96% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.05% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.95% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.84% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.16% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 33.54%
Draw 42.07%
Leyton Orient 24.38%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 49.56%
No Goal 6.62% (+0.01)
Leyton Orient 43.82% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 31.44% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.56% (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.41% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.59% (-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 41.7% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.3% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 18.23% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 81.77% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.57% (+0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 67.67% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.33% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.4% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.6% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.02% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.98% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.03% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.97% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 41.62%
Draw 25.73%
Leyton Orient 32.64%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 6.58% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.3% (+0.01)
Total : 41.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 25.73%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 8.03% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.9% (-0.04)
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Brisbane Road
  • Jack Simpson 44' yellowcard
  • Charlie Kelman 60' goal
  • goal T 11'
  • goal Cameron McGeehan 45'
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Cameron McGeehan 48' goal
  • Jack Baldwin 55' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 84' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 10'
  • yellowcard Dan Agyei 35'
  • yellowcard Tom James 56'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Brisbane Road
  • Idris El Mizouni 21' yellowcard
  • Oliver O'Neill 35' goal
  • Jordan Brown 41' yellowcard
  • Shaq Forde 58' goal
  • Ruel Sotiriou 80' goal
  • Ruel Sotiriou 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 22'
  • yellowcard Dominic Gape 31'
  • goal Marc Leonard 45'+1'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 77'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 83'
  • yellowcard Jon Guthrie 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Sam Hoskins 49' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 52' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 58' redcard
  • Lee Burge 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Happe 10'
  • goal Rob Hunt 14'
  • yellowcard Brandon Cooper 19'
  • goal Shaq Forde 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Ed Turns 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Fox 51' goal