League One Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kamarai Swyer 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Perkins 64' yellowcard
  • E. List 64' yellowcard
  • Jake Evans 72' yellowcard
  • Michael Jacobs 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 21'
  • goal Jayden Stockley 45'+8'
  • yellowcard J. Shipley 60'
  • yellowcard Andre Gray 61'
  • yellowcard Rhys Walters 61'
  • yellowcard Ben Waine 76'
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 89'

Northampton Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 2 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 1 Reading
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Jayden Stockley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 41.37% (+0.04)
Draw 27.09% (+0.04)
Port Vale 31.54% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.52% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 28.48% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 46.47% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 53.53% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 25.27% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.73% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 13.37% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.63% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 31.16%
Draw 45.18%
Port Vale 23.67%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 50.94% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.07% (+0.05)
Port Vale 40.99% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.02% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.61% (+0.04)
Under 8 30.38% (+0.10)
Over 9 46.16% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.86% (+0.03)
Under 9 41.98% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 35.07% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 64.93% (+0.17)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 38.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.63% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.37% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.1% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.9% (+0.03)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 65.6% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 34.4% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 30.85% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 69.15% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.58% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.42% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.98% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.02% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 41.37%
Draw 27.08%
Port Vale 31.55%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.97% (-0.03)
Total : 41.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.07% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 27.08%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 9.41% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85% (-0.03)
Total : 31.55%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Mitchell Pinnock 34' goal
  • Lee Burge 78' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 90'+4' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 16'
  • yellowcard Jensen Weir 64'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ethan Chislett 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Garrity 84' goal
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Martin 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 52'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 63'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 82'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Benny Ashley-Seal 23' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 71' yellowcard
  • Aaron McGowan 73' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 77' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Johnson 27'
  • redcard Tom Conlon 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Martin 81'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Paul Anderson 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 44'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 49'
  • goal David Worrall 72'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 76'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 84'