League One Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
2
2
HT : 3 1
FT Vale Park
  • Ethon Archer 6' goal
  • E. Archer 6' goal
  • Ben Waine 29' goal
  • Dajaune Brown 76' yellowcard
  • Andre Gray 76' yellowcard
  • Rhys Walters 82' yellowcard
  • Tyler Magloire 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Beesley 26'
  • goal Jake Beesley 52'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 70'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 78'
  • yellowcard Kain Adom 88'

Port Vale vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Doncaster
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 47.59% (+0.09)
Draw 24.27%
Burton Albion 28.14% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.82% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.18% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.98% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.5% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.5% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 36.1% (+0.04)
Draw 44.26% (-0.02)
Burton Albion 19.63% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 59.44% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.51% (+0.01)
Burton Albion 34.05% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 63.65% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.11% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.24% (-0.16)
Over 9 51.75% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.35% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 40.14% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 59.86% (-0.12)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 44.67% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.33% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 20.1% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 79.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.25% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.75% (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 63.05% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.95% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.67% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.42% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.58% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.11% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 47.59%
Draw 24.27%
Burton Albion 28.14%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.14% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.07% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.24% (+0.01)
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.27%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.1% (-0.03)
Total : 28.14%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 16, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Billy Bodin 9' goal
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 70' goal
League One Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Aristote Nsiala 28' yellowcard
  • Tom Hamer 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Loft 83'
FA Cup
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Beryly Lubala 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Hamer 18' yellowcard
  • goal Gavin Massey 31'
  • goal Lewis Cass 82'
FA Cup
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Nathan Smith 18' redcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 2'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 43'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 45'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 64'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
  • Ben Garrity 40' goal
  • Mitch Clark 64' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 70' yellowcard
  • Oliver Arblaster 86' goal
  • goal Beryly Lubala 11'
  • yellowcard Sam Hughes 17'
  • goal Steve Seddon 51'
  • goal Kwadwo Baah 61'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 90'