League One Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Stevenage 0 - 0 Huddersfield
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Doncaster 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.87%. A draw has a probability of 30.63% and a win for Port Vale has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a Port Vale win it is 0-1 (10.12%).

Result

Stevenage 42.87% (-0.16)
Draw 30.63% (+0.87)
Port Vale 26.51% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.25% (-0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 62% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 38% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 35.35% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 64.65% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 16.41% (-0.92)
Under 3.5 83.59% (+0.93)
Over 4.5 7.78% (-0.55)
Under 4.5 92.22% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 29.62% (-1.20)
Draw 50.71% (+1.43)
Port Vale 19.68% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Stevenage 52.37% (-1.20)
No Goal 12.69% (+0.39)
Port Vale 34.94% (+0.80)

Corners

Over 8 49.52% (-1.17)
Equal 8 12.68% (+0.09)
Under 8 37.81% (+1.11)
Over 9 37.4% (-1.15)
Equal 9 12.11% (-0.05)
Under 9 50.48% (+1.17)
Over 10.5 26.83% (-1.02)
Under 10.5 73.17% (+1.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 33.18% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 66.82% (+0.82)
Over 2.5 11.73% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 88.27% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 3.33% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 96.67% (+0.27)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 57.31% (-0.81)
Under 0.5 42.69% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 22.38% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 77.62% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 6.05% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 93.95% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.4% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.6% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Stevenage 42.85%
Draw 30.64%
Port Vale 26.5%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 15.18% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.24% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.25% (-0.32)
Total : 42.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5% (+0.44)
0-0 @ 12.69% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.04)
Total : 30.64%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.46)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.92% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.32% (-0.03)
Total : 26.5%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Terence Vancooten 6' goal
  • Jason Lowe 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Mighten 82' yellowcard
  • Tom Sang 89' yellowcard
  • Funso Ojo 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 33'
  • yellowcard Jake Forster-Caskey 36'
  • goal Jamie Reid 52'
  • goal Terence Vancooten 58'
  • yellowcard Craig MacGillivray 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 90'+7'
FA Cup
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
ET Vale Park
  • Ben Garrity 6' goal
  • Ben Garrity 55' goal
  • Alex Iacovitti 69' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 90' yellowcard
  • Ben Garrity 106' yellowcard
  • Ryan Loft 114' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 50'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 50'
  • goal Harvey White 81'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 90'+6'
  • goal Nathan Thompson 119'
FA Cup
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Taye Ashby-Hammond 64' yellowcard
  • Jamie Reid 69' goal
  • Jamie Reid 80' yellowcard
  • Carl Piergianni 81' yellowcard
  • Luther Wildin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Funso Ojo 76'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 78'
  • yellowcard Uche Ikpeazu 81'
  • yellowcard Jason Lowe 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jordan Roberts 34' yellowcard
  • Nathan Thompson 50' yellowcard
  • Kane Smith 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Arblaster 29'
  • yellowcard Nathan Smith 38'
  • yellowcard Kofi Balmer 45'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Brad Walker 2' yellowcard
  • Luke O'Neill 6' goal
  • Ryan Edmondson 12' goal
  • yellowcard Ed Upson 87'