Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.