League One Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 7.45pm
Wigan 1 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Tyrese Shade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw has a probability of 23.23% and a win for Burton Albion has a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a Burton Albion win it is 0-1 (5.81%).

Result

Luton Town 60.24% (-0.27)
Draw 23.23% (+0.08)
Burton Albion 16.53% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.44% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.43% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.57% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 48.69% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.01% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.99% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.96% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.04% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 43.72% (+0.07)
Draw 39.07% (-0.04)
Burton Albion 17.21% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 64.83% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.35%
Burton Albion 27.82% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.21% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.44% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.34% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.02% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.01)
Under 9 35.79% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 42%
Under 10.5 58%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 52.92% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 47.08% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 26.33% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 73.67% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 10.4% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.6% (+0.04)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 50.89% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 49.11% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 18.37% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 81.63% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 4.78% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 95.22% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.04% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.96% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Luton Town 60.23%
Draw 23.25%
Burton Albion 16.54%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.43% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.98%
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.31% (-0.05)
Total : 60.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 4.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 23.25%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 5.81% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.4% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.18% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.03)
Total : 16.54%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium (Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Lucas Akins 62' goal
  • Lucas Akins 73' goal
  • goal James Collins 30'
League One Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Jack Stacey 17' goal
  • James Collins 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Hesketh 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 53'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 55'
  • yellowcard Bradley Collins 83'
League Two
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve McNulty 72' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Palmer 79'
League Two
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Philip Edwards 47' goal
  • Robbie Weir 68' yellowcard
  • redcard Luke Wilkinson 94'