League One
Luton
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Nahki Wells 13' goal
  • Davy van den Berg 46' yellowcard
  • Devante Cole 69' yellowcard
  • J. Richards 70' yellowcard
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasper Moon 46'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 61'
  • yellowcard Sulyman Krubally 61'
  • yellowcard Fábio André Tavares Desidério 80'
  • yellowcard Kain Adom 80'
  • goal Fábio André Tavares Desidério 90'+2'

Luton Town vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 7.45pm
Wigan 1 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.23% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 60.24%
Draw 23.23%
Burton Albion 16.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41%
Under 1.5 26.59%
Over 2.5 48.66%
Under 2.5 51.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.01%
Under 3.5 72.99%
Over 4.5 15.96%
Under 4.5 84.04%

First Half Winner

Luton Town 43.72%
Draw 39.07%
Burton Albion 17.21%

Team To Score First

Luton Town 64.83%
No Goal 7.35%
Burton Albion 27.82%

Corners

Over 8 64.21%
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 25.34%
Over 9 53.02%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 35.79%
Over 10.5 42%
Under 10.5 58%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 52.91%
Under 1.5 47.09%
Over 2.5 26.33%
Under 2.5 73.67%
Over 3.5 10.4%
Under 3.5 89.6%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 50.88%
Under 0.5 49.12%
Over 1.5 18.35%
Under 1.5 81.65%
Over 2.5 4.76%
Under 2.5 95.24%
Over 3.5 1.04%
Under 3.5 98.96%

Score analysis

Luton Town 60.25%
Draw 23.23%
Burton Albion 16.54%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.98%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 10.31%
Total : 60.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.23%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 5.82%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 16.54%

Head to Head

League One
Burton Albion
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Luton
League One Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium (Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire)
Luton
  • Lucas Akins 62' goal
  • Lucas Akins 73' goal
  • goal James Collins 30'
League One Gameweek 23
Luton
Dec 22, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
Burton Albion
  • Jack Stacey 17' goal
  • James Collins 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Hesketh 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 53'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 55'
  • yellowcard Bradley Collins 83'
League Two
Luton
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Steve McNulty 72' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Palmer 79'
League Two
Burton Albion
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Luton
  • Philip Edwards 47' goal
  • Robbie Weir 68' yellowcard
  • redcard Luke Wilkinson 94'

Form Data

Wigan 1 - 0 Luton
Cardiff 3 - 1 Luton
Luton 2 - 1 Bradford
Luton 1 - 0 Blackpool
Huddersfield 1 - 0 Luton
Plymouth 1 - 0 Luton
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Rotherham
Burton Albion 0 - 1 West Ham
Port Vale 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Doncaster
Burton Albion 2 - 2 Cardiff
Bolton 2 - 1 Burton Albion